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Mobility and Energy Future

The mobility sector will undergo more change in coming years than it has in the past century. The pace of change is the question—not whether change occurs. Are you prepared?

Will change be of a revolutionary nature, topple incumbents in the automotive and energy industries, and dramatically reshape the mobility and energy sector? Or will it be gradual and offer opportunities for companies—incumbents and new entrants—to adapt to changing technology, government policies, business models, and consumer behavior?

The Mobility and Energy Future service provides insight, analysis, and data to keep members ahead of the curve in understanding how regulations, technology, new business models, and consumers are impacting oil, energy demand, and the automotive industry plus its supply chain.

Trillions of dollars of investment capital are at stake. Our service delivers research that addresses the latest developments and insights while also providing a scenario framework for decision-making.

The Big Questions

Among the big questions addressed by Mobility and Energy Future are:

  • How will electric cars and fuel economy standards impact oil demand?
  • Is a peak in oil demand near—or still decades away?
  • Will developments in driverless technology disrupt car sales and energy use faster than many think?
  • How will ride-hailing alter car use and car buying trends?
  • How will government policies at the national and local levels evolve and shape the future of electric cars and mobility service companies? How will congestion, pollution, industrial policy, and economic security influence these policies?
  • Will the scale of battery supply chains increase in time to satisfy projected battery-electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid sales?
  • What are companies doing to position themselves to succeed in the automotive system of the future?

Get a first-hand look at Refinery of the Future solutions with free access to the Oil Markets, Midstream, and Downstream Demo Hub Free access to select Oil Markets, Midstream, and Downstream research, analysis, and insight.
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About this service

This offering provides insight on the future of cars and the oil, automotive, chemicals and power industries. The goal of this service is to help clients effectively develop long-term business strategies.

Understanding the pulse of change in the short- and long-term are at the heart of this new service. From monthly updates on battery-electric vehicles and plug-in hybrid sales, analysis of new policy and business developments, to our scenario-based outlooks that span to 2052, the Mobility and Energy Future service features ground-breaking insights for the twenty-first century and provides an in depth look at how automotive fleets will evolve from the personally-owned model of the past century to a multidimensional competitive environment where mobility service companies, electric powertrains and driverless technology alter traditional buying and use patterns.

For the automotive industry, understanding the patterns of future car ownership and usage will be vital in preparing for tomorrow’s market. The market will become more complex as ride-sharing platforms and self-driving cars will give consumers an increasing number of options for personal mobility. Automakers and suppliers will need to adapt their products and business models to ensure they are prepared for greater diversity, the resizing of markets, battery charging needs, and related response from electric power markets.

For the oil and gas industry, light vehicles represent the most important end-market, accounting for one-third of global refined product demand and nearly 40% of total oil demand growth since 2000.

For the utilities industry, as electric cars become more widespread, the power generation and distribution industries will forge new ties with a wide array of other industries. This presents both challenges and opportunities throughout the energy industry. New demand will have to be managed at a time of wider transformation.

With Mobility and Energy Future you can:

  • Identify short- and long-term opportunities
  • Anticipate future changes
  • Minimize risk by offering better preparedness
  • Explore the validity of commonly held beliefs
  • Develop and test business strategies

What's included

Monthly sales data

Monthly automotive sales for 11 key markets including China, US, Germany, Italy, Spain, and France.

  • Data on total LV sales, with battery-electric and plug-in hybrid subtotals
  • Analysis and implications
Key Developments and Trends

Periodic analysis of key developments and trends

  • New twice-a-year ZEV watch report offering a comprehensive assessment of the five-year outlook for adoption of zero-emission LVs and MHVs—including those fueled by electricity and hydrogen. The report also offers assessments of the ZEV value chain—including charging and batteries—as well as biofuels.
  • Emissions and other regulatory policies
  • Penetration of autonomous technologies, new mobility business models, and new powertrains
  • Mobility demand modeling and VMT trends
  • Technological developments in new mobility technologies
Light Vehicle Forecasts

Light Vehicle Long term forecasts in two scenarios (Inflections (base case) and Green Rules)

  • Global vehicle miles traveled analysis
  • Detailed channel analysis (personal or ride hailing) by key market
  • Detailed channel analysis of autonomous technology adoption
  • Sales outlooks to 2050 by power train by region and country
  • Fleet outlooks to 2050 by powertrain by region and country
  • Fuel economy standards by region and country
  • Transport fuel demand by region and country (battery electric, plug in electric, natural gas, fuel cell, ethanol, gasoline, diesel) to 2050
Medium and Heavy Vehicle Forecasts

Medium and Heavy Vehicle (MHV) long-term forecasts in two scenarios

  • Sales, fleet and fuel demand outlooks to 2050
  • Two scenarios included
  • Detail on the policy, technology, and cost assumptions
  • Total cost of ownership analysis
  • Markets covered: China, United States, Europe and Japan
  • Updated once a year
  • Data available in annual buckets
Analyst access
Mobility and Energy Future service members also receive individual access to analysts

How will cities and cars adapt to changing motorization trends

City motorization peaks when urbanization rates reach 80%, but congestion is just one of many factors that could affect future mobility trends.

Click sections below to explore current trends.

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