Post-Pandemic Geopolitics and Economic Solutions

Gain a better understanding of the post-pandemic geopolitical impact, the global economy and specific geographies and sectors

The Covid-19 pandemic is now a long-term planning reality. Corporations and businesses are shifting their focus from the initial crisis management led response phase of the pandemic (focusing on safety and security of personnel and assets), towards a more strategic review of business resilience and strategy. Are you ready? Our Economics & Country Risk experts are uniquely positioned to help you evaluate situations, exposures, specific opportunities or ventures in light of new and evolving global challenges.

Do you have a solid strategy for a post-pandemic world?

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How S&P Global can support your business

Scenario analysis for crisis management and strategic planning

Whether we are looking at a health crisis, a natural disaster, or political upheaval, our team will develop specific scenario narratives and pathways for policy responses, economic shifts, and industry challenges. We offer insights into the dynamics relevant for your geographies and sectors of interest enabling you to set a steady path forward amidst uncertainty.

Working closely with you to explore relevant scenarios and impacts

Scenarios workshop
2 hours led by our economists, country risk and industry experts. The workshop convenes senior leadership representatives from across your business to ensure all perspectives are captured. The workshop would include a brief presentation of our Geopolitical Scenarios for 2025, followed by a brainstorming session to identify your top concerns in terms of business impacts, before exploring geopolitical and industry themes and indicators leading to these.
Customized scenario reports and pathways and impacts
Based on insights captured during the workshop, we will build up to three bespoke macro-level 5-year scenarios, with associated sets of geopolitical and industry indicators to monitor, and qualitative and quantitative assessment of impacts, for approval by your team before delivery in a final report.
Quarterly update reports
To help you track developments and which scenario is becoming more likely, we provide quarterly update reports in the following 12-month period containing alerts and analysis of which indicators have been triggered that are relevant to the scenarios and associated impacts.

Opportunity assessments

Evaluate specific opportunities or ventures in light of new and evolving global challenges. Work with us to understand how politics, economics and industry dynamics will affect the opportunity at hand – any risks introduced by the pandemic and the impacts it is generating, and how to quantify these effectively. We take an intelligence-led approach to new market entry enabling you to businesses build new ventures and scale them in emerging markets.

Support can include

Customized reports for emerging markets
Deep dives on the emerging markets you identify as core to your market entry plans. We provide actionable insights into the stakeholder and competitive landscape, untapped industry and regulatory trends to exploit, quantifying and qualifying new opportunities, and comparative benchmarking of similar markets in a region. Our analysis is always forward-looking, taking critical challenges like the pandemic into account.
Risk quantification
We identify and quantify future challenges to new ventures in emerging markets with a focus on macrosystemic market risks, barriers to entry, and compliance/regulatory risks. We can translate country-level risks into likely impact on project cashflow, NPV and IRR. Learn more.
Business partner vetting in emerging markets Our consulting team specializes in stakeholder and third-party vetting specifically in relation to their integrity/reputational profile and their track record of operation in a particular market.
Executive, governmental and public-facing reports and presentations
Our experts can provide public facing materials that communicate the benefit of your investment in a particular market to government and the wider public. Rigorous social and economic impact analysis underpins these and provide an objective expert view.

Expert briefings

Our experts across geopolitics, economics and industry, and life sciences track global developments and indicators on a daily basis to form views on what it all means for our clients.

Support can include

Executive workshops and custom presentations
Executive team workshops and presentations to inform decision makings, help untangle the significance and impacts of global developments booked directly with our consulting team. Book now
Experts by S&P Global
Shorter single-issue discussions or meetings can be booked through Experts by S&P Global

Built on a foundation of excellence in custom solutions, modelling, and scenario creation

Scenarios

Geopolitical
Anchored in our geopolitics expertise our team will develop scenarios that help set a plan for growth and resilience
Industry Scenario Service
Our experts can help you understand which industries and geographies will feel the consequences of an economic or geopolitical incident
Economic Scenarios
Understand the effect of changes in commodity prices, exchange rates, monetary and financial policy, energy prices, demographics and more as you build your new strategic plans.
Financial
Utilizing our deep knowledge of the financial industry, economic drivers, and risk profiles, we can help you quantify your total risk profile, conduct rigorous stress tests, provide transparency, and promote confidence.

Modelling

Country Risk Investment Model
Utilizing our country expertise, sector analysis, and granular risk scores we can forecasts and measure the expected financial impact different types of risk will have on cash flows and investment returns and activities.
Healthcare
Our life sciences team can help you develop trusted plans that take into account new market entry plans, drug pricing, disease prevalence and burden, essential workforce planning, and hospital operational models.

Custom Solutions

Integrity Due Diligence
A commercial view on any possible risks you could face with a new partner, as well as an assessment of the company’s key strengths and weaknesses.
Stakeholder Influence Mapping
An independent assessment of which risks are likely to serve as priorities for potential investors and examples from other jurisdictions on how these risks have impacted inward investment.
Economic Impact
Do you need to demonstrate a positive jobs and economic impact? We provide comprehensive assessments that quantify and clearly articulate the economic ripple effect (on jobs, tax revenues, etc.) arising from changes to the status quo.
Government Revenue
Quantify how economic and policy changes impact your jurisdictions’ capacity to plan, budget and deliver vital public services

Research & Analysis

Blog Sep 16, 2020

Weekly Pricing Pulse: Cracks start to appear, but commodity prices continue rising

Blog Sep 16, 2020

Leveraging text as data: Tracking economic recovery from COVID19 in the US

Blog Sep 15, 2020

Geopolitics in a post-pandemic world: A fragmented world

Blog Sep 11, 2020

Creditor response in sub-Saharan Africa

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