Industry Scenario Service: Powered by the Global Link Macro & Industry Model

Understand and mitigate risk, assess market opportunities, optimize your portfolio and build business resiliency

This service provides powerful scenarios, generated from our Global Link Industry Model (GLM-IM) and our Comparative Industry service, that provide actionable insights on which industries and geographies will most feel the consequences of an economic or geopolitical incident and which can withstand additional pressures.

We offer twelve scenarios a year (3 per quarter) that address the most pressing issues at play. Use the scenarios, data, and analysis to

Anticipate the impact of major policy and economic changes on your organization
Create your own growth story with consistency across supplier- and end-markets
Understand both top-down (macro to industry) and bottom-up (industry to macro) scenarios

Subscribers receive three scenario assumptions each quarter along with a full power point presentation describing the output and context of each scenario. Access scenario results in Connect, customize output views based on your interests, and export data to Excel or .CSV.

Trade war and tariff impacts Read our key findings from the US Protectionism Scenario

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Understanding the breakup of NAFTA

Powering the Model

Our Industry Scenario Service is powered by our GLM-IM model which is the foundation for the S&P Global industry forecasts. It leverages complete industry coverage, with 57 sectors (29 industrial sectors & 28 service industries) to create scenarios that provide unique insights into the industries and geographies that matter most to your business.

Country Coverage

68 linked country models:

Europe
Austria, Belgium, Bulgaria, Croatia, Cyprus, Czech Republic, Denmark, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Hungary, Ireland, Italy, Latvia, Lithuania, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Norway, Poland, Portugal, Romania, Slovakia, Slovenia, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland, Russia, Turkey, UK

North America
Canada, Mexico, US

Africa
Algeria, Angola, Egypt, Morocco, Nigeria, South Africa, Tunisia

Middle East
Iran, Israel, Kuwait, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, UAE

Latin America
Argentina, Brazil, Chile, Colombia, Peru, Venezuela

Asia-Oceania
Australia, China, Hong Kong, India, Indonesia, Japan, Malaysia, New Zealand, Philippines, Singapore, South Korea, Taiwan, Thailand, Vietnam

250-500 times series per country
30-year forecasts
Quarterly baseline forecasts

Concept Coverage

Capital Flows

FDI allocation
Foreign reserve allocation
New credits and debt financing

Trade Flows

Agricultural commodities
Non-agricultural commodities
Manufactured products
Energy

Energy Prices

Oil prices
Gas prices
Coal prices
Electricity prices

Agricultural Commodities

Wheat
Rice
Corn
Cotton
Soybeans
Cocoa
Coffee
Vegetable oils

Non-Agricultural Commodities

Aluminum
Copper
Nickel
Tin
Zinc
Iron ore
Gold

Industry Coverage

Industrial Sectors

Agriculture, Hunting, Forestry & Fishing
Mining And Quarrying of Energy Producing Materials
Mining And Quarrying except Energy Producing Materials
Food Products
Beverages
Tobacco Products
Textiles
Wearing Apparel
Leather & Related Products
Wood And Products of Wood And Cork, Except Furniture
Paper & Paper Products
Printing & Reproduction of Recorded Media
Coke & Refined Petroleum Products
Chemicals & Chemical Products
Pharmaceutical Products & Pharmaceutical Preparations
Rubber & Plastics Products
Other Non-Metallic Mineral Products
Iron & Steel
Non-Ferrous Metals
Fabricated Metal Products, Except Machinery & Equipment
Computer, Electronic & Optical Products
Electrical Equipment
Machinery & Equipment N.E.C.
Motor Vehicles, Trailers & Semi-Trailers
Building of Ships & Boats
Air & Spacecraft & Related Machinery
Railroad Equipment, Transport Equipment & Military Vehicles)
Furniture, Other Manufacturing
Repair & Installation of Machinery & Equipment

Service Sectors

Electricity, Gas, Steam & Air Conditioning Supply
Water Collection, Treatment & Supply
Sewerage, Remediation Activities & Waste Mgt
Construction
Wholesale & retail trade & repair of Motor Vehicles & Motorcycles
Wholesale Trade except Motor Vehicles & Motorcycles
Retail Trade, except Motor Vehicles And Motorcycles
Land Transport & Transport Via Pipelines
Water Transport
Air Transport
Warehousing & Support Activities for Transportation
Postal & Courier Activities
Hotels, Restaurants & Travel Agency & Tours
Publishing Activities
Audiovisual & Broadcasting Activities
Telecommunications
It & Other Information Services
Financial Service Activities, except Insurance & Pension
Insurance, Reinsurance & Pension Funding, except Compulsory Social Security
Act. Auxiliary to Financial Service & Insurance
Real Estate
Professional, Scientific & Technical Activities
Rental & Leasing Activities
Security, Buildings, Employment
Public Administration, Defense; Social Security
Education
Human Health & Social Work Activities
Arts, Entertainment And Recreation

Recent scenarios delivered

Impact of US Protectionism (April 2018)
Economic consequences of targeted protectionist measures implemented by the US
Boom & Bust (April 2018)
Impact of faster growth in the US prompted by the accommodative fiscal packages on growth and monetary policy
Corporate debt crisis in China (February 2018)
The domino effects of a rise in non-performing loans on the domestic financial sector from China’s corporate sector debt and resulting over-capacity
NAFTA breakup (February 2018)
The impact for the USA, Mexico and Canada of a breakup of NAFTA
Impact of a cliff-edge Brexit (February 2018)
The consequences of a slow negotiation on a cliff-edge Brexit

We will release future scenarios each quarter that address the most pressing issues impacting your organization.

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Research and Analysis

View All

Blog Nov 19, 2024

Global economic outlook: November 2024

Blog Nov 13, 2024

US presidential election impact: Region by region

Blog Nov 08, 2024

Toy supply chains avoid 2024’s hurdles

Blog Nov 07, 2024

Supply chain strategies to mitigate tariffs

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